NBA · Nov 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets

FinalDAL 120 – DEN 122Page updated 10:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 16 actual

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Denver Nuggets

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 12 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 10:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 185 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 38 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.38, Under 1.56

Julian Strawther · points 8.5 → 12 · 3.5 above the line · played 23.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Daniel Gafford · points 11.5 → 16 · 4.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.34

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.32, Under 3.25

Naji Marshall · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 36.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.32, Under 2.95

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.79

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.44

Dwight Powell · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 14.2 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.10

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs DAL · last 24 games · DEN leads · DEN record 12–12 · average score 113.2–112.2 · DEN has won by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Mar · DAL 135 at DEN 142DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 98 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 107 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 116 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 137 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 195 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 306 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 312 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 349 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 359 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 360 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 364 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 61 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 385 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 388 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 388 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 388 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 357 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 727 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 793 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 869 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 869 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 894 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 896 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 895 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1022 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1384 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.