NBA · Nov 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors

FinalDAL 117 – GSW 120Page updated 12:41 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 8 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Golden State Warriors

De'Anthony Melton · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 12:41 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 224 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Stephen Curry · assists 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.15

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 36 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.94

Naji Marshall · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

De'Anthony Melton · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.22, Under 1.63

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Draymond Green · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.06

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs DAL · last 29 games · DAL leads · GSW record 13–16 · average score 115.5–116.9 · GSW has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Mar · GSW 137 at DAL 131GSW won

22 Jan · GSW 115 at DAL 123GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 73 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 83 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 106 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 230 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 236 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 243 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 260 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 264 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 294 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 298 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 254 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 331 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 137 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 234 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 260 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 620 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 650 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 525 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 527 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 533 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 535 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 635 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 648 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 663 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.