NBA · Nov 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalDAL 121 – OKC 119Page updated 15:39 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 17 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 5 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

points 31.5 → 36 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 15:39 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 222 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

P.J. Washington · rebounds 4.5 → 17 · 12.5 above the line · played 28.3 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.94

Dereck Lively II · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 25.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.95, Under 1.32

Jalen Williams · rebounds 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Naji Marshall · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 27 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · points 31.5 → 36 · 4.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.34, Under 2.80

Kyrie Irving · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.93

Daniel Gafford · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 18 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs DAL · last 28 games · OKC leads · OKC record 14–14 · average score 109.5–108.3 · OKC has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Mar · OKC 100 at DAL 87OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 23 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 25 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 38 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 110 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 110 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 137 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 140 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 141 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 119 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 145 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 208 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 656 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 967 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1426 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1494 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1500 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1501 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1515 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1607 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1606 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1606 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.