NBA · Nov 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets

FinalDAL 123 – DEN 120Page updated 10:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 13 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 19 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 26 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Denver Nuggets

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 10:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 95 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 2 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Naji Marshall · points 8.5 → 26 · 17.5 above the line · played 26.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Kyrie Irving · points 26.5 → 19 · 7.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.35

Daniel Gafford · points 10.5 → 13 · 2.5 above the line · played 27 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 20.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.63, Under 1.44

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs DAL · last 24 games · DEN leads · DEN record 12–12 · average score 113.2–112.2 · DEN has won by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

25 Mar · DAL 135 at DEN 142DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 27 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 32 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 45 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 151 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 129 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 271 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 272 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 326 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 329 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 332 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 333 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 338 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 341 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 53 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 62 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 474 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 474 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 571 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 572 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 573 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 765 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 825 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.