NBA · Nov 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings

FinalOKC 130 – SAC 109Page updated 11:00 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 19 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 21 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 225 points · odds to win: OKC 1.66, SAC 2.37

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 02:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:00 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAC also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 275 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Isaiah Hartenstein · points 9.5 → 19 · 9.5 above the line · played 31.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Cason Wallace · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 14.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.80

Keegan Murray · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.53, Under 2.45

Malik Monk · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 26 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.54

Jalen Williams · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Domantas Sabonis · points 18.5 → 21 · 2.5 above the line · played 35 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs OKC · last 22 games · SAC leads · SAC record 12–10 · average score 111.4–113.5 · SAC has lost by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 3.5, expected total 225 (Tue 02:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 02:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 26 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 35 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 95 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 159 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 167 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 179 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 217 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 218 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 221 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 223 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 226 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 54 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 231 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 282 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 543 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 312 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 569 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 520 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 691 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 693 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 692 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 694 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 696 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.