NBA · Dec 3 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets

FinalGSW 115 – DEN 119Page updated 04:10 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → 24 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 15 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 11 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 5 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 236.5 points · odds to win: GSW 2.73, DEN 1.52

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 02:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:10 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 231 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 40 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.99

Brandin Podziemski · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.79

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Julian Strawther · points 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Aaron Gordon · points 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Christian Braun · points 12.5 → 11 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Stephen Curry · points 23.5 → 24 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs GSW · last 27 games · DEN leads · DEN record 17–10 · average score 115.6–114.7 · DEN has won by 0.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · GSW 93 at DEN 116DEN won

22 Feb · DEN 117 at GSW 128DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 5, expected total 236.5 (Wed 02:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 02:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 102 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 119 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 122 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 139 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 260 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 263 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 263 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 263 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 264 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 287 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 286 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 290 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 638 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 704 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 530 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 749 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 771 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 778 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 798 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 821 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.