NBA · Dec 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalDAL 104 – OKC 118Page updated 21:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 9 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 13 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 19 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 11 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

points 22.5 → 18 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 9 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

rebounds + assists 11.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 230 points · odds to win: DAL 2.58, OKC 1.57

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 02:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 287 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Kenrich Williams · points 3.5 → 9 · 5.5 above the line · played 17.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.92

Naji Marshall · points 7.5 → 19 · 11.5 above the line · played 29 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 7.5 → 13 · 5.5 above the line · played 31 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Cason Wallace · points 7.5 → 11 · 3.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.79

Alex Caruso · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jalen Williams · points 22.5 → 18 · 4.5 below the line · played 32.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Daniel Gafford · points 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Isaiah Hartenstein · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · rebounds + assists 11.5 → 13 · 1.5 above the line · played 37.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs DAL · last 28 games · OKC leads · OKC record 14–14 · average score 109.5–108.3 · OKC has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Mar · OKC 100 at DAL 87OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up107.9 points · 44.6 rebounds · 24.9 assists · 36.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 4.5, expected total 230 (Wed 02:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 02:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 43 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 44 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 45 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 46 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 53 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 137 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 139 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 139 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 147 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 149 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 157 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 182 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 54 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 320 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 562 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (ra)ok 200 · 419 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 460 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2291 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2692 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2605 ms

odds player timeline (ra)ok 200 · 2773 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2774 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2775 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2833 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2837 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3004 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 3611 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 3722 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3790 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.