NBA · Dec 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets

FinalGSW 90 – HOU 91Page updated 21:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 7 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 1 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 221 points · odds to win: GSW 2.39, HOU 1.65

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 02:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:59 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 336 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Jabari Smith Jr. · rebounds 7.5 → 1 · 6.5 below the line · played 37.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Brandin Podziemski · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.94

Gary Payton II · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 18 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.95

Tari Eason · points 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.61, Under 2.25

Stephen Curry · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Alperen Sengun · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Amen Thompson · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Fred VanVleet · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Draymond Green · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 30 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs GSW · last 30 games · GSW leads · HOU record 8–22 · average score 105.4–111.4 · HOU has lost by 5.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · HOU 117 at GSW 116HOU won

5 Mar · GSW 115 at HOU 113HOU lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 3.5, expected total 221 (Thu 02:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 02:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 14 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 15 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 17 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 23 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 95 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 99 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 104 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 112 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 117 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 101 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 288 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 303 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 941 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2731 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2650 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 2841 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2840 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2841 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3131 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3185 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3197 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 3197 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 3552 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.