NBA · Dec 20 gameFull sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Miami Heat

FinalOKC 104 – MIA 97Page updated 17:28 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 8.5 → 7 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 2 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 13 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Miami Heat

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:28 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

OKC also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 154 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · points 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 22.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.94

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.02

Isaiah Hartenstein · points 10.5 → 13 · 2.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Alex Caruso · points + rebounds 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.94

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs OKC · last 14 games · MIA leads · MIA record 8–6 · average score 110.9–108.8 · MIA has won by 2.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

OKC gives up107.9 points · 44.6 rebounds · 24.9 assists · 36.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 51 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 52 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 164 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 171 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 225 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 226 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 226 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 229 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 229 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 244 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 126 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 542 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 715 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4906 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 280 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 509 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 515 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 517 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 529 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 818 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.