NBA · Dec 25 gameFull sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors

FinalLAL 115 – GSW 113Page updated 16:21 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 26 actual

Bronny James · minutes unknown

points 1.5 → no final stat available

Dalton Knecht · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Kevon Looney · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 0 actual

Golden State Warriors

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 4 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 219.5 points · odds to win: LAL 2.38, GSW 1.65

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:21 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 283 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Kevon Looney · points 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 4.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Austin Reaves · points 16.5 → 26 · 9.5 above the line · played 36.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.83

Dalton Knecht · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.52, Under 1.47

Gary Payton II · points 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 6.5 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.80

Draymond Green · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.70

Stephen Curry · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.24

Brandin Podziemski · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Bronny James · points 1.5 → no final stat available · Caesars odds: Over 2.26, Under 1.57

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs LAL · last 30 games · LAL leads · GSW record 12–18 · average score 113.1–116.7 · GSW has lost by 3.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

9 Apr · LAL 119 at GSW 103GSW lost

28 Feb · LAL 129 at GSW 101GSW lost

7 Feb · GSW 99 at LAL 105GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 3.5, expected total 219.5 (Thu 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 10 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 11 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 19 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 85 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 86 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 87 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 96 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 98 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 103 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 113 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 109 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 209 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 452 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 498 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 432 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 433 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 435 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 446 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 447 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 447 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 449 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 450 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.