NBA · Dec 25 gameFull sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Dallas Mavericks

FinalMIN 105 – DAL 99Page updated 16:21 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 26 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 11 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 5 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 14 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 0 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 10 actual

Kyrie Irving · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 5 · both teams together expected to score about 222 points · odds to win: MIN 2.75, DAL 1.51

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 19:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:21 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 237 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Daniel Gafford · points 9.5 → 0 · 9.5 below the line · played 13 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.84

Kyrie Irving · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 37.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.00

Jaden McDaniels · points 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 34.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.82

Rudy Gobert · points 10.5 → 14 · 3.5 above the line · played 39.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.77

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 7.5 → 10 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.82, Under 1.92

Donte DiVincenzo · points 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Naji Marshall · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 13.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.82, Under 2.00

P.J. Washington · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.2 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.80

Anthony Edwards · points 24.5 → 26 · 1.5 above the line · played 39.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.02

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs MIN · last 27 games · MIN leads · DAL record 12–15 · average score 109.3–112.8 · DAL has lost by 3.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Mar · MIN 124 at DAL 94DAL lost

20 Feb · DAL 111 at MIN 122DAL lost

28 Jan · MIN 118 at DAL 105DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 5, expected total 222 (Wed 19:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 19:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 90 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 95 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 99 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 101 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 129 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 22 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 23 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 25 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 64 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 236 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 490 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 513 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 455 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 455 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 457 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 549 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 550 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 550 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 550 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.