NBA · Dec 25 gameFull sheet

Philadelphia 76ers at Boston Celtics

FinalPHI 118 – BOS 114Page updated 16:21 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Philadelphia 76ers

Jaylen Brown · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Joel Embiid · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 9 actual

Tyrese Maxey · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 12 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 21 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

rebounds 9.5 → 15 actual

Paul George · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 12 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 9 · both teams together expected to score about 223 points · odds to win: PHI 4.07, BOS 1.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 21:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 16:21 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 254 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Tyrese Maxey · assists 5.5 → 12 · 6.5 above the line · played 40.8 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.78

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 13.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.81, Under 1.96

Jayson Tatum · rebounds 9.5 → 15 · 5.5 above the line · played 41.9 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.46, Under 1.49

Derrick White · points 14.5 → 21 · 6.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.84

Payton Pritchard · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 33.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.79

Paul George · points 15.5 → 12 · 3.5 below the line · played 33.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.00

Jaylen Brown · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 42.8 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.75, Under 2.10

Joel Embiid · rebounds 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.81

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs PHI · last 44 games · BOS leads · BOS record 23–21 · average score 108.8–104.3 · BOS has won by 4.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

2 May · PHI 109 at BOS 100BOS lost

30 Apr · BOS 93 at PHI 106BOS lost

28 Apr · PHI 113 at BOS 97BOS lost

26 Apr · BOS 128 at PHI 96BOS won

24 Apr · BOS 108 at PHI 100BOS won

21 Apr · PHI 111 at BOS 97BOS lost

19 Apr · PHI 91 at BOS 123BOS won

1 Mar · PHI 98 at BOS 114BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 9, expected total 223 (Wed 21:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 21:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 40 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 58 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 81 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 182 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 190 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 196 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 203 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 205 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 222 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 222 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 194 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 131 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 219 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 231 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 541 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 668 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 480 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 486 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 489 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 494 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 528 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 576 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 647 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.