NBA · Dec 27 gameFull sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Brooklyn Nets

FinalSAS 96 – BKN 87Page updated 14:00 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 10 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 15 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 3 actual

Brooklyn Nets

Day'Ron Sharpe · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 4 actual

Noah Clowney · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 14:00 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

BKN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 252 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Julian Champagnie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 20 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Noah Clowney · points 13.5 → 5 · 8.5 below the line · played 24 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.85

Keldon Johnson · points 9.5 → 15 · 5.5 above the line · played 27.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.80

Devin Vassell · points 16.5 → 10 · 6.5 below the line · played 33.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Day'Ron Sharpe · points 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 13 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.96

Harrison Barnes · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Stephon Castle · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 19 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Victor Wembanyama · 3-pointers 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BKN vs SAS · last 13 games · SAS leads · BKN record 6–7 · average score 114.4–113.0 · BKN has won by 1.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

26 Feb · SAS 126 at BKN 110BKN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SAS gives up 110.1 points a game · 6th of 30 · league average 115.3−5.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 44 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 71 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 133 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 235 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 237 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 248 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 249 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 269 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 278 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 284 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 289 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 48 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 271 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 315 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 234 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 627 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 716 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 531 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 532 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 552 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 555 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 559 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 564 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.