NBA · Dec 28 gameFull sheet

Detroit Pistons at Denver Nuggets

FinalDET 121 – DEN 134Page updated 11:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 8 actual

Jalen Duren · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 12 actual

Denver Nuggets

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 10 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 11:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 217 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 7 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Ausar Thompson · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 24 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 39.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Julian Strawther · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 22.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Christian Braun · points 12.5 → 10 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Cade Cunningham · assists 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Jalen Duren · points 10.5 → 12 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Nikola Jokić · assists 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 37.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.18

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs DET · last 12 games · DEN leads · DEN record 9–3 · average score 118.8–110.5 · DEN has won by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

3 Feb · DEN 121 at DET 124DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 29 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 33 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 121 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 121 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 122 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 124 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 130 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 154 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 161 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 89 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 95 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 428 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 521 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 300 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 549 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 567 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 579 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 644 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 648 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 661 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.