NBA · Dec 29 gameFull sheet

Miami Heat at Houston Rockets

FinalMIA 104 – HOU 100Page updated 11:50 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 12 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 18 actual

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 5 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

points + rebounds + assists 27.5 → 29 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 7 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 11:50 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 230 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jović · points 8.5 → 18 · 9.5 above the line · played 31 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.89

Jabari Smith Jr. · points 12.5 → 7 · 5.5 below the line · played 26.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Amen Thompson · rebounds 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Bam Adebayo · points 16.5 → 12 · 4.5 below the line · played 34.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Alperen Sengun · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Fred VanVleet · points + rebounds + assists 27.5 → 29 · 1.5 above the line · played 38.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Tari Eason · points 9.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs MIA · last 14 games · MIA leads · HOU record 3–11 · average score 104.9–112.9 · HOU has lost by 8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

21 Mar · MIA 122 at HOU 123HOU won

28 Feb · HOU 105 at MIA 115HOU lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 11 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 22 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 91 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 96 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 100 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 101 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 106 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 126 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pra)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 424 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 277 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 498 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 444 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 446 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 446 ms

odds player timeline (pra)ok 200 · 448 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 448 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 449 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.