NBA · Dec 29 gameFull sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalSAS 110 – MIN 112Page updated 10:44 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

0 of 0 picks graded. The rest remain pending.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 9.5 → 29 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 0 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 0 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 26 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 12 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 17 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 216.5 points · odds to win: SAS 3.01, MIN 1.44

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:44 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 216 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Harrison Barnes · points + rebounds 9.5 → 29 · 19.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.85

Donte DiVincenzo · points 9.5 → 26 · 16.5 above the line · played 33.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Julian Champagnie · points 8.5 → 0 · 8.5 below the line · played 11.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Stephon Castle · points 7.5 → 0 · 7.5 below the line · played 7.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Rudy Gobert · points 10.5 → 17 · 6.5 above the line · played 30.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Victor Wembanyama · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Keldon Johnson · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 17.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Jaden McDaniels · points 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.82

Devin Vassell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.56

Anthony Edwards · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs SAS · last 29 games · MIN leads · MIN record 18–11 · average score 115.0–113.4 · MIN has won by 1.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

15 May · SAS 139 at MIN 109MIN lost

12 May · MIN 97 at SAS 126MIN lost

10 May · SAS 109 at MIN 114MIN won

8 May · SAS 115 at MIN 108MIN lost

6 May · MIN 95 at SAS 133MIN lost

4 May · MIN 104 at SAS 102MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

SAS gives up 110.1 points a game · 6th of 30 · league average 115.3−5.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 6, expected total 216.5 (Mon 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 87 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 88 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 101 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 219 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 240 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 245 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 264 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 280 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 284 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 285 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 36 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 113 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 696 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 769 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2469 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 119 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 434 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 576 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 657 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 658 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 659 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 667 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 669 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 741 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 744 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 746 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.