NBA · Oct 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalHOU 124 – OKC 125Page updated 17:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes15 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 18 actual

Clint Capela · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 4 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 9 actual

Steven Adams · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 13 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 7 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

points 23.5 → no final stat available

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

HOU had 170 days off before this game · OKC had 121 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 300 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

15 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · rebounds 2.5 → 7 · 4.5 above the line · played 41.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.10

Kevin Durant · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 47.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Steven Adams · rebounds 6.5 → 13 · 6.5 above the line · played 36.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.05

Jaylin Williams · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 12.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.50, Under 2.50

Isaiah Hartenstein · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Tari Eason · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.44

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Alperen Sengun · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 48.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Amen Thompson · points 14.5 → 18 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 5 · 1.5 below the line · played 47.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.95

Clint Capela · points 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 7.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Jabari Smith Jr. · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 41.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.05

Reed Sheppard · points 8.5 → 9 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Alex Caruso · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Jalen Williams · points 23.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs HOU · last 31 games · OKC leads · OKC record 15–15 · average score 109.9–108.9 · OKC has won by 1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 64

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 17 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 97 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 101 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 105 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 111 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 113 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 132 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 91 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 551 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 627 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3579 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 64 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 368 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 375 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 381 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 386 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 388 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 394 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 398 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 399 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 404 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 415 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 490 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 523 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 534 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 538 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 541 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 544 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 558 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 606 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 625 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 686 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 800 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 806 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 838 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 854 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 854 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 855 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 855 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 869 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 868 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 868 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1023 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1023 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1024 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1025 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1078 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1079 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1080 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.