NBA · Oct 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Orlando Magic

FinalMIA 121 – ORL 125Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 4 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 0 actual

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 7 actual

Desmond Bane · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 1 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIA had 177 days off before this game · ORL had 176 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 286 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Pelle Larsson · points 4.5 → 0 · 4.5 below the line · played 3.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Paolo Banchero · assists 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 35.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.24, Under 1.62

Franz Wagner · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.06

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.81

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.82, Under 1.41

Nikola Jović · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.67

Jalen Suggs · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Desmond Bane · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.78

Andrew Wiggins · rebounds 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.04

Anthony Black · points 7.5 → 7 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Wendell Carter Jr. · rebounds 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.98, Under 1.79

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ORL vs MIA · last 26 games · MIA leads · ORL record 12–14 · average score 108.7–108.6 · ORL has won by 0.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · ORL 121 at MIA 117ORL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 44 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 69 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 88 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 191 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 195 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 219 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 222 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 223 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 268 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 271 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 78 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 292 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 616 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1803 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1798 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1799 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1800 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1799 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1800 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1800 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1801 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1864 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2300 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.