NBA · Oct 22 gameAll props Full sheet

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks

FinalSAS 125 – DAL 92Page updated 17:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

San Antonio Spurs

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Dylan Harper · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 7 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 5 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 11 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 4 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 22 actual

Victor Wembanyama · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 40 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 10 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 2 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 9 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 3 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 224.5 points · odds to win: SAS 2.37, DAL 1.66

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 01:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

SAS had 192 days off before this game · DAL had 192 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 321 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 10.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.70

Naji Marshall · points 8.5 → 3 · 5.5 below the line · played 22.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Max Christie · points 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 26 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.99, Under 1.78

Victor Wembanyama · points 24.5 → 40 · 15.5 above the line · played 29.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Julian Champagnie · points 9.5 → 5 · 4.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.82

Dylan Harper · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.07

Cooper Flagg · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Stephon Castle · points 16.5 → 22 · 5.5 above the line · played 28.5 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.84, Under 1.92

Luke Kornet · rebounds 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.93

Harrison Barnes · points 9.5 → 7 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.81

Devin Vassell · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.9 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.36, Under 1.56

P.J. Washington · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.76, Under 2.02

Keldon Johnson · points 11.5 → 11 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs SAS · last 26 games · DAL leads · DAL record 19–7 · average score 119.5–116.4 · DAL has won by 3.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · DAL 120 at SAS 139DAL lost

7 Feb · DAL 125 at SAS 138DAL lost

5 Feb · SAS 135 at DAL 123DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 3, expected total 224.5 (Thu 01:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 01:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 21 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 23 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 52 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 96 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 102 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 103 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 111 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 114 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 69 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 297 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 496 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 393 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 404 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 580 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 749 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 755 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 758 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 762 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 778 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 781 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 787 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 789 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 801 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 824 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 825 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 984 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.