NBA · Oct 24 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks

FinalWAS 117 – DAL 107Page updated 17:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Wizards

Alex Sarr · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 14 actual

Anthony Davis · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Khris Middleton · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Kyshawn George · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 7 actual

Tre Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 7 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 9.5 · both teams together expected to score about 228.5 points · odds to win: WAS 4.51, DAL 1.24

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 312 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 1 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Kyshawn George · 3-pointers 1.5 → 7 · 5.5 above the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Anthony Davis · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 37.7 min · no final price

Tre Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.3 min · no final price

Max Christie · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · no final price

Cooper Flagg · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 34.7 min · no final price

Khris Middleton · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.8 min · no final price

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.3 min · no final price

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.3 min · no final price

Naji Marshall · points 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.3 min · no final price

Alex Sarr · points 12.5 → 14 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs WAS · last 13 games · DAL leads · DAL record 8–5 · average score 116.7–112.2 · DAL has won by 4.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 9.5, expected total 228.5 (Sat 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 28 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 29 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 58 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 116 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 36 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 134 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 172 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 58 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 62 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 212 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 213 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 216 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 241 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 386 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 588 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 586 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 588 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 647 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 645 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 662 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 681 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 683 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 705 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 709 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.