NBA · Oct 25 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Suns at Denver Nuggets

FinalPHX 111 – DEN 133Page updated 21:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Suns

Collin Gillespie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Devin Booker · minutes unknown

points 26.5 → 31 actual

Dillon Brooks · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Oso Ighodaro · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 1 actual

Ryan Dunn · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 17 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 13.5 · both teams together expected to score about 230.5 points · odds to win: PHX 6.88, DEN 1.10

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:35 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

PHX also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 389 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.1 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 32 min · no final price

Oso Ighodaro · rebounds 5.5 → 1 · 4.5 below the line · played 23.2 min · no final price

Cameron Johnson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · no final price

Collin Gillespie · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 14.2 min · no final price

Ryan Dunn · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.2 min · no final price

Dillon Brooks · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 31 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 31.8 min · no final price

Devin Booker · points 26.5 → 31 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.6 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · points 16.5 → 17 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.2 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs PHX · last 33 games · DEN leads · DEN record 19–14 · average score 115.6–112.9 · DEN has won by 2.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Mar · DEN 125 at PHX 123DEN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 13.5, expected total 230.5 (Sun 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 76 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 156 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 204 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 211 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 216 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 222 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 228 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 243 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 247 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 251 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 255 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 504 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1431 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1779 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 377 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 396 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 407 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 424 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 429 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 431 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 473 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 482 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 522 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 587 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 663 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 671 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 690 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 738 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 759 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 759 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 771 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 816 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 984 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.