NBA · Oct 26 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Knicks at Miami Heat

FinalNYK 107 – MIA 115Page updated 21:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Landry Shamet · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → no final stat available

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 9 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYK expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 230 points · odds to win: NYK 1.67, MIA 2.36

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 21:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:35 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 311 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Jalen Brunson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Landry Shamet · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.59, Under 2.29

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 18.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

OG Anunoby · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 36.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Andrew Wiggins · points 16.5 → 9 · 7.5 below the line · played 31.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Nikola Jović · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Karl-Anthony Towns · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Mikal Bridges · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 38.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Josh Hart · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Jordan Clarkson · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 15 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Miles McBride · points 10.5 → no final stat available · Fanatics odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs NYK · last 28 games · MIA leads · MIA record 14–14 · average score 109.6–108.9 · MIA has won by 0.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYK expected to win by 3, expected total 230 (Sun 21:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 21:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 13 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 30 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 94 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 96 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 100 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 103 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 93 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 106 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 82 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 98 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 159 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 231 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 524 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 598 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 670 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 726 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 739 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 739 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 743 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 751 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 750 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 755 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 756 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 761 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 770 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 860 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.