NBA · Oct 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat

FinalCHA 117 – MIA 144Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Charlotte Hornets

Kon Knueppel · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Moussa Diabaté · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Ryan Kalkbrenner · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 6 actual

Sion James · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 8 actual

Tidjane Salaün · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 17 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 10 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 239.5 points · odds to win: CHA 2.62, MIA 1.55

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 23:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 349 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Pelle Larsson · points 7.5 → 17 · 9.5 above the line · played 30.7 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.87

Kon Knueppel · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Tidjane Salaün · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 15.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.19

Bam Adebayo · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Nikola Jović · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 22 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.34, Under 1.58

Sion James · points 5.5 → 8 · 2.5 above the line · played 23.3 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.76

Andrew Wiggins · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 29.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Ryan Kalkbrenner · rebounds 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Moussa Diabaté · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.90, Under 1.87

Simone Fontecchio · points 9.5 → 10 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs CHA · last 25 games · MIA leads · MIA record 18–7 · average score 115.6–109.0 · MIA has won by 6.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · MIA 106 at CHA 136MIA lost

6 Mar · MIA 128 at CHA 120MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 4.5, expected total 239.5 (Tue 23:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 23:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 53 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 103 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 108 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 109 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 112 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 121 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 128 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 69 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 151 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 294 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 317 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 324 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 526 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 424 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 638 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 773 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 728 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 745 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 746 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 747 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 748 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 748 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 825 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 836 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 965 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1074 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.