NBA · Oct 28 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Knicks at Milwaukee Bucks

FinalNYK 111 – MIL 121Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 3 actual

Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Landry Shamet · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

OG Anunoby · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 5 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 5 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NYK expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 229.5 points · odds to win: NYK 1.81, MIL 2.13

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 310 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 9 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Landry Shamet · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Ryan Rollins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Mikal Bridges · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 39.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Myles Turner · points 13.5 → 5 · 8.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Karl-Anthony Towns · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.72

OG Anunoby · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Jalen Brunson · assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 34.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Kyle Kuzma · points 8.5 → 5 · 3.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Jordan Clarkson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 17 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

AJ Green · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 23.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.74

Gary Trent Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 30.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Josh Hart · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIL vs NYK · last 24 games · MIL leads · MIL record 14–10 · average score 115.0–111.6 · MIL has won by 3.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Feb · NYK 127 at MIL 98MIL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NYK expected to win by 2, expected total 229.5 (Tue 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 93 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 102 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 132 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 292 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 295 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 298 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 300 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 330 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 339 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 338 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 66 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 405 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 411 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 415 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 162 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 301 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 305 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 331 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 338 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 651 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 347 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 363 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 364 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 376 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1118 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1295 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1365 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1493 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1502 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1540 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1541 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1550 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1553 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1556 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1561 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.