NBA · Oct 29 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks

FinalIND 105 – DAL 107Page updated 17:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Ben Sheppard · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Jarace Walker · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Jay Huff · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 2 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DAL expected to win by about 6 · both teams together expected to score about 229.5 points · odds to win: IND 2.97, DAL 1.45

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 277 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Jarace Walker · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Naji Marshall · rebounds 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Jay Huff · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 21 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Max Christie · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Pascal Siakam · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Ben Sheppard · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 25 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Cooper Flagg · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs IND · last 13 games · IND leads · DAL record 5–8 · average score 117.8–118.9 · DAL has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Feb · DAL 134 at IND 130DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DAL expected to win by 6, expected total 229.5 (Thu 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 63 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 76 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 186 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 205 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 206 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 216 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 220 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 226 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 225 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 233 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 172 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 499 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 580 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 379 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 396 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 402 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 404 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 411 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 999 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 680 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 679 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 681 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 680 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 684 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 837 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 971 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 977 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 995 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.