NBA · Oct 29 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets

FinalNOP 88 – DEN 122Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

DeAndre Jordan · minutes unknown

points 3.5 → 2 actual

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 8 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 21 actual

Jordan Poole · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Yves Missi · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 9 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 7 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 17 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 239.5 points · odds to win: NOP 6.06, DEN 1.15

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 353 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Jeremiah Fears · points 10.5 → 21 · 10.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Derik Queen · rebounds 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 14.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Zion Williamson · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Aaron Gordon · rebounds 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 22.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Trey Murphy III · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Yves Missi · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 24 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

DeAndre Jordan · points 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 12.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.85

Jordan Poole · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 21.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Cameron Johnson · points 11.5 → 7 · 4.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Christian Braun · points 12.5 → 17 · 4.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Saddiq Bey · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs NOP · last 23 games · DEN leads · DEN record 15–8 · average score 116.0–112.9 · DEN has won by 3.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 11.5, expected total 239.5 (Thu 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 203 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 211 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 259 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 409 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 416 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 418 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 457 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 459 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 459 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 463 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 463 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 465 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 465 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 467 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 88 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 295 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 315 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 768 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 4790 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 4876 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 5301 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 4875 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 4878 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 4878 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 4875 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 4878 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 5014 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 5016 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 5017 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 5094 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 5188 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.