NBA · Oct 31 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers

FinalDEN 107 – POR 109Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 9 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 15 actual

Jrue Holiday · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 11 actual

Shaedon Sharpe · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 239 points · odds to win: DEN 1.49, POR 2.81

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 01:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 307 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Donovan Clingan · rebounds 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 24.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Christian Braun · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.82

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Cameron Johnson · points 13.5 → 9 · 4.5 below the line · played 31.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.14

Jrue Holiday · points 16.5 → 11 · 5.5 below the line · played 32.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Deni Avdija · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Shaedon Sharpe · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Toumani Camara · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

POR vs DEN · last 32 games · DEN leads · POR record 9–23 · average score 114.2–120.9 · POR has lost by 6.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

6 Apr · POR 132 at DEN 137POR lost

22 Mar · POR 112 at DEN 128POR lost

20 Feb · DEN 157 at POR 103POR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 5.5, expected total 239 (Sat 01:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 01:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 371 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 371 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 380 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 1 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 382 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 387 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 388 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 13 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 397 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 407 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 408 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 410 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 412 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 418 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 420 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 99 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 704 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 45 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 61 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 69 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 784 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 127 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 135 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 280 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1239 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1325 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1454 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1453 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1454 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1455 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1518 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1770 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1772 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1785 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2313 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.