NBA · Nov 2 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalNOP 106 – OKC 137Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 4 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Jordan Poole · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Yves Missi · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 6 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 10 actual

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 8 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 8 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 7 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 13 · both teams together expected to score about 228.5 points · odds to win: NOP 6.26, OKC 1.15

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 20:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 275 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Isaiah Hartenstein · assists 3.5 → 8 · 4.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Saddiq Bey · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 19 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Cason Wallace · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Jaylin Williams · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 22.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Ajay Mitchell · points 15.5 → 10 · 5.5 below the line · played 30.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Zion Williamson · assists 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Derik Queen · points 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 6.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.82

Jordan Poole · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Jeremiah Fears · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Trey Murphy III · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Yves Missi · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 22 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.62, Under 2.18

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 30 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Alex Caruso · points 8.5 → 8 · 0.5 below the line · played 12.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs NOP · last 27 games · OKC leads · OKC record 20–7 · average score 110.6–102.7 · OKC has won by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 13, expected total 228.5 (Sun 20:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 20:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 76 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 116 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 129 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 163 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 164 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 167 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 169 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 1 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 178 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 230 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 232 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 232 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 234 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 235 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 268 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 369 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 371 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 382 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 393 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 396 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 402 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 410 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 413 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 417 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 463 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 466 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 469 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 471 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 736 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 770 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1038 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1860 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1864 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1906 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1920 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1919 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1968 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1968 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1971 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1971 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1972 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 2007 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2074 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.