NBA · Nov 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Toronto Raptors

FinalMIL 100 – TOR 128Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 18 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 8 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Toronto Raptors

Collin Murray-Boyles · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 1 actual

Immanuel Quickley · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

Jamal Shead · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

RJ Barrett · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Scottie Barnes · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

TOR expected to win by about 2 · both teams together expected to score about 237.5 points · odds to win: MIL 2.15, TOR 1.79

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 336 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

RJ Barrett · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.1 min · no final price

Scottie Barnes · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.5 min · no final price

Kyle Kuzma · points 9.5 → 18 · 8.5 above the line · played 26.6 min · no final price

Jamal Shead · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 17.1 min · no final price

Collin Murray-Boyles · rebounds 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 14.8 min · no final price

Jakob Poeltl · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 20 min · no final price

Ryan Rollins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.2 min · no final price

Myles Turner · rebounds 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · no final price

AJ Green · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.8 min · no final price

Gary Trent Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.4 min · no final price

Immanuel Quickley · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

TOR vs MIL · last 22 games · TOR leads · TOR record 12–10 · average score 112.3–110.5 · TOR has won by 1.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

22 Feb · TOR 122 at MIL 94TOR won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had TOR expected to win by 2, expected total 237.5 (Wed 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 117 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 173 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 180 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 281 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 289 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 338 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 342 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 350 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 356 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 361 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 363 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 329 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 381 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 404 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 415 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 423 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 848 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 553 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 610 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 637 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 645 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 647 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 650 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 972 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 864 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 865 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 901 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 980 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 986 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1150 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1164 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1165 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1166 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1168 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1173 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.