NBA · Nov 4 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors

FinalPHX 107 – GSW 118Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Suns

Collin Gillespie · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Devin Booker · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Mark Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 16 actual

Oso Ighodaro · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 2 actual

Ryan Dunn · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 2 actual

Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jimmy Butler III · minutes unknown

points 18.5 → 2 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

3-pointers 4.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 235.5 points · odds to win: PHX 4.68, GSW 1.22

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 192 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Draymond Green · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.8 min · no final price

Jimmy Butler III · points 18.5 → 2 · 16.5 below the line · played 14.1 min · no final price

Mark Williams · rebounds 8.5 → 16 · 7.5 above the line · played 27.4 min · no final price

Ryan Dunn · rebounds 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Devin Booker · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.4 min · no final price

Oso Ighodaro · points 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.3 min · no final price

Collin Gillespie · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 21.3 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · 3-pointers 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs PHX · last 26 games · PHX leads · GSW record 12–14 · average score 110.5–111.7 · GSW has lost by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Feb · GSW 101 at PHX 97GSW won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 10.5, expected total 235.5 (Wed 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 48 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 80 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 199 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 205 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 227 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 230 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 229 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 232 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 235 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 238 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 241 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 304 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 74 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 512 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 505 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 513 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 516 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 550 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 549 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 551 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 797 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 623 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.