NBA · Nov 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Memphis Grizzlies

FinalHOU 124 – MEM 109Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 20 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Clint Capela · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 16 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 5 actual

Memphis Grizzlies

Cam Spencer · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 2 actual

Cedric Coward · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jaylen Wells · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 232.5 points · odds to win: HOU 1.35, MEM 3.47

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 255 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Cedric Coward · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Kevin Durant · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.54

Reed Sheppard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Amen Thompson · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 38.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Cam Spencer · assists 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Jabari Smith Jr. · points 13.5 → 16 · 2.5 above the line · played 35.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Jaylen Wells · points 9.5 → 8 · 1.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Tari Eason · rebounds 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Clint Capela · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 16 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.77

Alperen Sengun · points 20.5 → 20 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MEM vs HOU · last 26 games · HOU leads · MEM record 12–14 · average score 114.8–114.2 · MEM has won by 0.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Apr · MEM 101 at HOU 132MEM lost

27 Mar · HOU 119 at MEM 109MEM lost

26 Jan · MEM 99 at HOU 108MEM lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 7.5, expected total 232.5 (Thu 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 12 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 14 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 29 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 93 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 93 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 93 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 3 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 4 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 133 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 133 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 134 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 137 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 123 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 112 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 142 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 145 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 152 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 488 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1146 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1244 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1147 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1147 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1164 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1165 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1199 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1206 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1213 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1276 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1292 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.