NBA · Nov 5 gameAll props Full sheet

New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks

FinalNOP 101 – DAL 99Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 7 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Karlo Matković · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 4 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 11 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 15 actual

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

NOP also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 290 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 6 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Saddiq Bey · 3-pointers 1.5 → 4 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Dwight Powell · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 10.1 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.56, Under 2.36

Max Christie · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

P.J. Washington · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 38.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.97

Derik Queen · rebounds 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 25.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.06, Under 1.74

Trey Murphy III · points 20.5 → 11 · 9.5 below the line · played 38.2 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.76

Karlo Matković · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 10.3 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.88, Under 1.88

Naji Marshall · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.79, Under 1.95

Jeremiah Fears · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Cooper Flagg · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 35 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Daniel Gafford · points 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 24.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs NOP · last 27 games · DAL leads · DAL record 17–10 · average score 118.6–112.9 · DAL has won by 5.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

16 Mar · DAL 111 at NOP 129DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 17 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 18 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 31 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 102 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 104 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 110 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 111 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 113 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 14 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 117 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 129 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 122 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 169 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 467 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 325 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 535 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 623 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 624 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 623 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 624 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 833 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 835 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 885 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 887 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.