NBA · Nov 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Utah Jazz at Detroit Pistons

FinalUTA 103 – DET 114Page updated 20:40 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Utah Jazz

Ace Bailey · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

Jusuf Nurkić · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Keyonte George · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Kyle Filipowski · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 4 actual

Lauri Markkanen · minutes unknown

points 24.5 → 25 actual

Svi Mykhailiuk · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 6 actual

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Duncan Robinson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Jalen Duren · minutes unknown

points 16.5 → 22 actual

Javonte Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DET expected to win by about 10 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: UTA 4.45, DET 1.24

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 20:40 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 225 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Svi Mykhailiuk · 3-pointers 1.5 → 6 · 4.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Javonte Green · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.50, Under 2.45

Keyonte George · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Kyle Filipowski · points 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Jalen Duren · points 16.5 → 22 · 5.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Cade Cunningham · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Duncan Robinson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Ace Bailey · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.62

Jusuf Nurkić · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.60

Ausar Thompson · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 31 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Lauri Markkanen · points 24.5 → 25 · 0.5 above the line · played 39.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DET vs UTA · last 13 games · UTA leads · DET record 4–9 · average score 114.6–117.3 · DET has lost by 2.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DET expected to win by 10, expected total 233.5 (Wed 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 229 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 559 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 595 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 597 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 599 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 600 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 602 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 603 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 605 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 605 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 607 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 607 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 629 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 128 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2583 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 2684 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 275 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 379 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 3112 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1171 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1198 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1227 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1262 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1358 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1384 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1398 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1518 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1556 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1628 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1649 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.