NBA · Nov 5 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics

FinalWAS 107 – BOS 136Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Washington Wizards

Alex Sarr · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 31 actual

Bilal Coulibaly · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Justin Champagnie · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Kyshawn George · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Tre Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 2 actual

Luka Garza · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 2 actual

Neemias Queta · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 15 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 12.5 · both teams together expected to score about 232.5 points · odds to win: WAS 5.92, BOS 1.16

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 252 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Alex Sarr · points 15.5 → 31 · 15.5 above the line · played 29 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Bilal Coulibaly · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 16.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Neemias Queta · points 8.5 → 15 · 6.5 above the line · played 24.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Luka Garza · points 6.5 → 2 · 4.5 below the line · played 7.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.94

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 22.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Derrick White · 3-pointers 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Justin Champagnie · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.76

Tre Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Kyshawn George · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Payton Pritchard · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 23.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

BOS vs WAS · last 23 games · BOS leads · BOS record 18–5 · average score 120.2–107.6 · BOS has won by 12.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

14 Mar · WAS 100 at BOS 111BOS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 12.5, expected total 232.5 (Thu 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 21 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 21 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 37 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 107 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 108 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 109 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 109 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 114 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 128 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 113 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 343 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 344 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 595 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 407 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 409 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 436 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 438 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 439 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 446 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 449 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 450 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 454 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 462 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 466 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 835 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1077 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1075 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1077 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1078 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1080 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1145 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1144 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1144 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1145 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1145 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.