NBA · Nov 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Denver Nuggets

FinalIND 100 – DEN 117Page updated 17:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Pascal Siakam · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → no final stat available

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 8 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → no final stat available

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 17:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 209 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Pascal Siakam · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Cameron Johnson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.3 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.00

Christian Braun · points 12.5 → 8 · 4.5 below the line · played 27 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Aaron Nesmith · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.77, Under 2.00

Aaron Gordon · rebounds 5.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.69

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.57

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs IND · last 14 games · DEN leads · DEN record 12–2 · average score 119.6–111.8 · DEN has won by 7.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 15 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 16 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 33 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 98 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 110 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 109 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 109 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 112 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 116 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 118 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 101 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 126 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 144 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 185 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 541 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 567 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 511 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 512 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 517 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 528 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 529 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 530 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.