NBA · Nov 8 gameAll props Full sheet

Phoenix Suns at LA Clippers

FinalPHX 114 – LAC 103Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Phoenix Suns

Collin Gillespie · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 13 actual

Devin Booker · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Dillon Brooks · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Jalen Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Mark Williams · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 19 actual

Ryan Dunn · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

LA Clippers

Bradley Beal · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Brook Lopez · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 8 actual

Derrick Jones Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Kris Dunn · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

LAC expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 226 points · odds to win: PHX 2.54, LAC 1.57

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 03:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 303 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Devin Booker · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 37.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Jalen Green · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 6.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.65

Ryan Dunn · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.50, Under 2.50

Derrick Jones Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Collin Gillespie · points 7.5 → 13 · 5.5 above the line · played 26.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Mark Williams · points 11.5 → 19 · 7.5 above the line · played 28.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.08

Bradley Beal · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.57

Dillon Brooks · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.91

Kris Dunn · points 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.60

Brook Lopez · points 7.5 → 8 · 0.5 above the line · played 12.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

LAC vs PHX · last 38 games · PHX leads · LAC record 16–22 · average score 110.8–110.5 · LAC has won by 0.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Feb · LAC 117 at PHX 93LAC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had LAC expected to win by 4.5, expected total 226 (Sun 03:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 03:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 17 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 19 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 46 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 92 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 93 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 94 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 97 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 98 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 124 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 110 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 139 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 163 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 165 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 168 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 171 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 363 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 405 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 422 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 427 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1541 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1626 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1752 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1645 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1646 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2198 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2258 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2265 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 2296 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2296 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 2297 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.