NBA · Nov 10 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Dallas Mavericks

FinalMIL 116 – DAL 114Page updated 21:35 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 7 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 8 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIL expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 229.5 points · odds to win: MIL 1.65, DAL 2.40

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 01:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:35 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

MIL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 353 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

AJ Green · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.60

Gary Trent Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.16, Under 1.65

Kyle Kuzma · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.97, Under 1.80

Max Christie · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Ryan Rollins · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.07

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.23, Under 1.61

Daniel Gafford · rebounds 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Naji Marshall · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 25.2 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.83

Cooper Flagg · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.68

Myles Turner · rebounds 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 27.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs MIL · last 14 games · MIL leads · DAL record 4–10 · average score 113.8–119.6 · DAL has lost by 5.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

31 Mar · DAL 99 at MIL 123DAL lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIL expected to win by 3.5, expected total 229.5 (Tue 01:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 01:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 106 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 109 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 109 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 110 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 113 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 132 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 143 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 146 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 33 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 129 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 149 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 470 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 485 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 381 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 402 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 410 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 419 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 470 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 490 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 502 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 503 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 507 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 511 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 516 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 518 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 520 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 528 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 667 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 683 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 698 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 710 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 725 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 727 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 748 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 754 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 784 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.