NBA · Nov 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat

FinalCLE 130 – MIA 116Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 6 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 4 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 0 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 157 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Andrew Wiggins · assists 2.5 → 6 · 3.5 above the line · played 33.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.15

Pelle Larsson · rebounds 3.5 → 0 · 3.5 below the line · played 27.4 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.95, Under 1.80

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 19.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Davion Mitchell · assists 7.5 → 4 · 3.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Dru Smith · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Nikola Jović · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.64

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs CLE · last 28 games · MIA leads · MIA record 14–14 · average score 110.1–112.4 · MIA has lost by 2.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · MIA 128 at CLE 149MIA lost

25 Mar · MIA 120 at CLE 103MIA won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 12 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 13 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 39 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 95 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 97 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 100 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 102 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 102 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 105 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 106 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 119 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 46 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 148 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 401 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1356 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1252 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1255 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1271 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1275 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1274 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1332 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.