NBA · Nov 12 gameAll props Full sheet

Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalLAL 92 – OKC 121Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers

Austin Reaves · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 3 actual

Jake LaRavia · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jarred Vanderbilt · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 9 actual

Luka Dončić · minutes unknown

assists 8.5 → 7 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Ajay Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Alex Caruso · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Isaiah Hartenstein · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Jaylin Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 8 · both teams together expected to score about 229 points · odds to win: LAL 3.76, OKC 1.31

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 02:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

OKC also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 275 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Jarred Vanderbilt · rebounds 4.5 → 9 · 4.5 above the line · played 18.7 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.63, Under 2.20

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Isaiah Hartenstein · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.2 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.67, Under 2.10

Austin Reaves · assists 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 30.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Jake LaRavia · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 22 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Ajay Mitchell · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Alex Caruso · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Jaylin Williams · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 19.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Luka Dončić · assists 8.5 → 7 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.8 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.71

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs LAL · last 29 games · OKC leads · OKC record 15–14 · average score 115.1–111.9 · OKC has won by 3.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 May · OKC 115 at LAL 110OKC won

9 May · OKC 131 at LAL 108OKC won

7 May · LAL 107 at OKC 125OKC won

5 May · LAL 90 at OKC 108OKC won

7 Apr · OKC 123 at LAL 87OKC won

2 Apr · LAL 96 at OKC 139OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 8, expected total 229 (Thu 02:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 02:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 296 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 301 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 341 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 626 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 633 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 635 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 706 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 451 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 768 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 776 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 780 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 791 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 18 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 20 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 824 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 825 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 95 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 910 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 125 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 220 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 235 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 252 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 254 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1058 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 382 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1524 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1540 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1543 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1615 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1644 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1648 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1648 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1650 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1654 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1769 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1774 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 2591 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.