NBA · Nov 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalGSW 124 – NOP 106Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 3 actual

Jimmy Butler III · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 8 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 3 actual

Will Richard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 0 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 226.5 points · odds to win: GSW 1.20, NOP 5.06

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 158 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Moses Moody · 3-pointers 2.5 → 8 · 5.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Saddiq Bey · blocks 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 6.75, Under 1.08

Jimmy Butler III · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 31.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Al Horford · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 20.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Stephen Curry · assists 4.5 → 3 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.60, Under 1.47

Will Richard · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.77

Gary Payton II · rebounds 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 12.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.14

Brandin Podziemski · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 25.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Draymond Green · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 24.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.10, Under 1.34

Zion Williamson · blocks 0.5 → no final stat available · BetMGM odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.48

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs GSW · last 23 games · GSW leads · NOP record 8–15 · average score 108.0–112.6 · NOP has lost by 4.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

24 Feb · GSW 109 at NOP 113NOP won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 11, expected total 226.5 (Sun 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 54 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 78 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 311 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 403 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 405 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 407 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 411 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 416 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 425 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 427 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 427 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 428 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 428 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 376 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 47 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 233 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 814 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 922 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 46 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 222 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 237 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 243 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1262 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1355 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1362 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1362 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1363 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1457 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1458 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1457 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1496 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1525 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.