NBA · Nov 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Orlando Magic at Houston Rockets

FinalORL 113 – HOU 117Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes13 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Desmond Bane · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Goga Bitadze · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 4 actual

Jonathan Isaac · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 3 actual

Tristan da Silva · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Wendell Carter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 15 actual

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 8 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 6 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Steven Adams · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 13 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 223 points · odds to win: ORL 3.62, HOU 1.33

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 229 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

13 other players with a posted line

Steven Adams · rebounds 7.5 → 13 · 5.5 above the line · played 27.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Kevin Durant · assists 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 45.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.96

Amen Thompson · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 38.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.78

Jonathan Isaac · points 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 13.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.05

Jabari Smith Jr. · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 43.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.16

Wendell Carter Jr. · points 11.5 → 15 · 3.5 above the line · played 37.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.70

Goga Bitadze · points 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Alperen Sengun · assists 6.5 → 8 · 1.5 above the line · played 44.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Desmond Bane · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 44.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.66

Tristan da Silva · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.55, Under 2.35

Reed Sheppard · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.68

Anthony Black · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 35.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.08, Under 1.70

Franz Wagner · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 42.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.76

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs ORL · last 14 games · HOU leads · HOU record 10–4 · average score 114.4–110.4 · HOU has won by 4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

26 Feb · HOU 113 at ORL 108HOU won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 7.5, expected total 223 (Sun 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 58

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 35 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 117 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 118 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 120 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 122 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 125 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 128 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 133 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 134 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 144 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 144 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 89 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 421 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 551 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 4388 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 52 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 177 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 181 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 197 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 216 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 333 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 340 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 387 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 513 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 515 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 521 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 522 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 525 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 524 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 537 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 743 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 744 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 757 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.