NBA · Nov 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Portland Trail Blazers at Dallas Mavericks

FinalPOR 133 – DAL 138Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Portland Trail Blazers

Deni Avdija · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Donovan Clingan · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 16 actual

Robert Williams III · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Shaedon Sharpe · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Toumani Camara · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Dallas Mavericks

Daniel Gafford · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 20 actual

Dereck Lively II · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 3 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

POR expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 237 points · odds to win: POR 1.68, DAL 2.34

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 151 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Daniel Gafford · points 10.5 → 20 · 9.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.94, Under 1.80

Donovan Clingan · points 8.5 → 16 · 7.5 above the line · played 27.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.75

Dereck Lively II · rebounds 5.5 → 3 · 2.5 below the line · played 11.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Deni Avdija · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.64

Shaedon Sharpe · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 38.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.54, Under 2.38

Toumani Camara · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 40.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.16, Under 1.65

Robert Williams III · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.93, Under 1.85

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs POR · last 24 games · DAL leads · DAL record 16–8 · average score 125.4–115.4 · DAL has won by 10 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

27 Mar · DAL 100 at POR 93DAL won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had POR expected to win by 3.5, expected total 237 (Mon 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 68 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 74 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 152 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 206 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 274 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 275 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 278 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 309 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 311 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 314 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 319 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 324 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 259 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 117 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 121 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 123 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 138 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 157 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 164 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 582 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 234 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 893 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 783 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 818 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 822 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 854 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 891 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 891 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 927 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.