NBA · Nov 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Sacramento Kings at San Antonio Spurs

FinalSAC 110 – SAS 123Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 17 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Precious Achiuwa · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 1 actual

Zach LaVine · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

San Antonio Spurs

De'Aaron Fox · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Devin Vassell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Harrison Barnes · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Julian Champagnie · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Keldon Johnson · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 14 actual

Luke Kornet · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 11 actual

Stephon Castle · minutes unknown

points 21.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAS expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 241.5 points · odds to win: SAC 3.03, SAS 1.43

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 20:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 284 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 7 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Devin Vassell · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 33.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.04

Precious Achiuwa · points 5.5 → 1 · 4.5 below the line · played 4.6 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.78, Under 2.00

Stephon Castle · points 21.5 → 4 · 17.5 below the line · played 15.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.72

Zach LaVine · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.60, Under 2.25

De'Aaron Fox · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.56

Harrison Barnes · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.92, Under 1.83

Julian Champagnie · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.68, Under 2.10

Malik Monk · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 28.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.04, Under 1.72

Luke Kornet · rebounds 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 27.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.76, Under 1.97

Keldon Johnson · points 11.5 → 14 · 2.5 above the line · played 22.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.93

Domantas Sabonis · points 17.5 → 17 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.89, Under 1.83

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAS vs SAC · last 21 games · SAC leads · SAS record 10–11 · average score 121.5–121.0 · SAS has won by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · SAS 132 at SAC 104SAS won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAS expected to win by 5.5, expected total 241.5 (Sun 20:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 20:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 54 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 81 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 95 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 215 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 248 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 252 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 253 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 253 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 255 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 63 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 320 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 320 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 321 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 268 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 108 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 179 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 183 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 260 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 269 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 281 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 320 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 321 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 349 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 357 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 585 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 396 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 749 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 998 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 789 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 791 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 790 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 791 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 864 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 866 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 886 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 972 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1009 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.