NBA · Nov 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalDAL 96 – MIN 120Page updated 17:46 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Dallas Mavericks

Cooper Flagg · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Dwight Powell · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Max Christie · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Moussa Cisse · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 5 actual

Naji Marshall · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 7 actual

P.J. Washington · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 1 actual

Donte DiVincenzo · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 14 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Jaylen Clark · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 5 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

rebounds 10.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 14 · both teams together expected to score about 232 points · odds to win: DAL 7.00, MIN 1.12

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:46 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 308 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Jaden McDaniels · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 23.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.70, Under 1.43

Anthony Edwards · 3-pointers 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 29.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Max Christie · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 18.8 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.34, Under 1.57

Moussa Cisse · points 10.5 → 5 · 5.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.05, Under 1.36

Cooper Flagg · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 26.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.10, Under 1.69

Dwight Powell · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 16.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.78, Under 1.99

Naji Marshall · points 10.5 → 7 · 3.5 below the line · played 23.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.15, Under 1.33

P.J. Washington · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Rudy Gobert · rebounds 10.5 → 9 · 1.5 below the line · played 29.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.55, Under 1.48

Jaylen Clark · points 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 18.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.69, Under 2.10

Donte DiVincenzo · points 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs DAL · last 27 games · MIN leads · MIN record 15–12 · average score 112.8–109.3 · MIN has won by 3.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

30 Mar · MIN 124 at DAL 94MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 14, expected total 232 (Tue 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 34 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 143 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 146 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 146 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 150 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 150 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 151 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 154 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 158 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 183 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 185 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 49 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 51 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 280 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 175 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 514 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 646 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 116 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 124 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 128 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 190 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 201 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 206 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 214 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 248 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 314 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 421 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 451 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 560 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 672 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 690 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 738 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 749 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 751 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 771 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 776 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 781 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 785 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 807 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 839 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.