NBA · Nov 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalMIL 106 – CLE 118Page updated 18:44 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Milwaukee Bucks

AJ Green · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 4 actual

Gary Trent Jr. · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Kyle Kuzma · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Myles Turner · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 15 actual

Ryan Rollins · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Craig Porter Jr. · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 6 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 20 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

CLE expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 234.5 points · odds to win: MIL 3.05, CLE 1.43

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Mon 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:44 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 261 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 6 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Craig Porter Jr. · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.1 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.85

Sam Merrill · points 10.5 → 20 · 9.5 above the line · played 27.9 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.94

AJ Green · 3-pointers 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 40.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.12, Under 1.70

Kyle Kuzma · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 24.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.16, Under 1.65

Evan Mobley · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 36 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.02, Under 1.74

Jarrett Allen · rebounds 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 24.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Donovan Mitchell · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 35.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Gary Trent Jr. · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 31.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Myles Turner · points 12.5 → 15 · 2.5 above the line · played 37.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.77, Under 1.97

Ryan Rollins · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.8 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.14, Under 1.66

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs MIL · last 26 games · CLE leads · CLE record 14–12 · average score 113.0–111.3 · CLE has won by 1.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

17 Mar · CLE 123 at MIL 116CLE won

25 Feb · CLE 116 at MIL 118CLE lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had CLE expected to win by 5.5, expected total 234.5 (Mon 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Mon 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 43 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 44 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 165 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 172 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 173 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 174 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 176 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 180 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 180 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 209 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 211 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 180 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 55 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 468 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1141 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1441 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 114 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 207 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 331 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 351 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 355 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 363 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 518 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 529 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 544 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 545 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 552 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 569 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 658 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 704 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 701 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.