NBA · Nov 17 gameAll props Full sheet

New York Knicks at Miami Heat

FinalNYK 113 – MIA 115Page updated 21:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

New York Knicks

Jordan Clarkson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 0 actual

Josh Hart · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Karl-Anthony Towns · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Landry Shamet · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Mikal Bridges · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Miles McBride · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 25 actual

Miami Heat

Andrew Wiggins · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 4 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

points 4.5 → 11 actual

Nikola Jović · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 14 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 1 · both teams together expected to score about 244.5 points · odds to win: NYK 1.99, MIA 1.92

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:25 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:36 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 279 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Dru Smith · points 4.5 → 11 · 6.5 above the line · played 15.5 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Jordan Clarkson · 3-pointers 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 26.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.40, Under 1.53

Josh Hart · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Miles McBride · points 13.5 → 25 · 11.5 above the line · played 38.7 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.85, Under 1.88

Simone Fontecchio · points 8.5 → 14 · 5.5 above the line · played 20.6 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.95

Landry Shamet · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 39.4 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.93

Karl-Anthony Towns · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 32.6 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.96, Under 1.78

Nikola Jović · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 15 min · Caesars odds: Over 2.18, Under 1.67

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.17, Under 1.64

Pelle Larsson · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 26.3 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.51

Mikal Bridges · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.2 min · BetRivers odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Andrew Wiggins · assists 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 33 min · BetRivers odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.60

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs NYK · last 28 games · MIA leads · MIA record 14–14 · average score 109.6–108.9 · MIA has won by 0.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 1, expected total 244.5 (Tue 00:25 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:25 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds history (h2h)ok · 27 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 28 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 96 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 108 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 115 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 115 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 116 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 116 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 122 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 124 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 143 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 91 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 462 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 467 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 3831 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 30 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 33 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 34 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 35 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 37 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 39 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 40 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 48 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 54 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 146 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 149 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 154 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 185 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 227 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 282 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 449 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 487 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 487 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 488 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 489 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 491 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 493 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 495 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 497 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 545 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 723 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 727 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.