NBA · Nov 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalDEN 125 – NOP 118Page updated 21:36 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes11 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available

Cameron Johnson · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 14 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Zeke Nnaji · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 4 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Derik Queen · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

Jeremiah Fears · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Saddiq Bey · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 2 actual

Yves Missi · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 11.5 · both teams together expected to score about 235 points · odds to win: DEN 1.17, NOP 5.54

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 21:36 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 314 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

11 other players with a posted line

Jeremiah Fears · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Saddiq Bey · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 18.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.80, Under 1.91

Trey Murphy III · rebounds 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 35.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Zeke Nnaji · rebounds 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 26.6 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 1.70, Under 2.10

Zion Williamson · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Derik Queen · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Nikola Jokić · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.4 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.20

Jamal Murray · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.91, Under 1.83

Yves Missi · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 12.4 min · BetOnline.ag odds: Over 2.03, Under 1.75

Cameron Johnson · points 13.5 → 14 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.90, Under 1.38

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs DEN · last 23 games · DEN leads · NOP record 8–15 · average score 112.9–116.0 · NOP has lost by 3.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 11.5, expected total 235 (Thu 00:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 52

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 100 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 100 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 104 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 106 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 107 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 110 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 111 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 117 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 121 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 127 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 169 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 95 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 413 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 612 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 981 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 96 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 106 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 192 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 239 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 242 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 251 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 253 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 401 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 408 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 411 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 426 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 444 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 456 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 467 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 492 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 636 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 636 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 677 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 679 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 680 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 778 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 777 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 847 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 849 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1017 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1053 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.