NBA · Nov 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Cleveland Cavaliers

FinalHOU 114 – CLE 104Page updated 18:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes12 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 7 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 2 actual

Steven Adams · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 6 actual

Cleveland Cavaliers

Craig Porter Jr. · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 9 actual

Donovan Mitchell · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Evan Mobley · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jarrett Allen · minutes unknown

points 12.5 → 8 actual

Nae'Qwan Tomlin · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 10 actual

Sam Merrill · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → no final stat available

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

HOU expected to win by about 1.5 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: HOU 1.80, CLE 2.13

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 23:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 18:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 252 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 5 of 8 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

12 other players with a posted line

Evan Mobley · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.05, Under 1.74

Craig Porter Jr. · points 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · BetMGM odds: Over 2.00, Under 1.74

Donovan Mitchell · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 34.1 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.50, Under 1.50

Kevin Durant · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 36.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.35, Under 1.56

Jabari Smith Jr. · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 30.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.65, Under 1.45

Jarrett Allen · points 12.5 → 8 · 4.5 below the line · played 28.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.85, Under 1.40

Reed Sheppard · 3-pointers 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.63

Amen Thompson · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 40.3 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.15, Under 1.67

Alperen Sengun · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 38 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Steven Adams · points 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 28 min · BetMGM odds: Over 1.83, Under 1.91

Nae'Qwan Tomlin · points 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 19.6 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Sam Merrill · points 11.5 → no final stat available · Bovada odds: Over 2.80, Under 1.41

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CLE vs HOU · last 13 games · HOU leads · CLE record 6–7 · average score 111.8–108.8 · CLE has won by 3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had HOU expected to win by 1.5, expected total 233.5 (Wed 23:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 23:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 55

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 12 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 14 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 43 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 136 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 138 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 139 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 139 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 142 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 148 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 149 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 149 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 138 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 154 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 155 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 76 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 65 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 69 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 79 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 261 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 267 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 270 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 271 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 282 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 285 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 291 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 528 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 328 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 815 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 635 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 633 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 634 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 636 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 712 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 744 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 750 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 752 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 753 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 797 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 798 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1004 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.