NBA · Nov 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets

FinalDEN 112 – HOU 109Page updated 19:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 6 actual

Amen Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 2 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 21 actual

Kevin Durant · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Reed Sheppard · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 5 actual

Steven Adams · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 19:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 116 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Aaron Gordon · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 3.4 min · Bovada odds: Over 1.74, Under 2.05

Reed Sheppard · 3-pointers 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 36.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Amen Thompson · assists 5.5 → 2 · 3.5 below the line · played 43.5 min · Bovada odds: Over 3.00, Under 1.36

Jabari Smith Jr. · points 13.5 → 21 · 7.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.75, Under 1.42

Kevin Durant · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 35.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.72, Under 2.05

Steven Adams · points 7.5 → 5 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.1 min · Fanatics odds: Over 1.87, Under 1.87

Alperen Sengun · assists 6.5 → 6 · 0.5 below the line · played 36.2 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.30, Under 1.59

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

HOU vs DEN · last 24 games · DEN leads · HOU record 8–16 · average score 111.2–115.2 · HOU has lost by 4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

11 Mar · HOU 93 at DEN 129HOU lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 66 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 143 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 146 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 15 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 177 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 222 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 222 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 222 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 240 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 243 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 246 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 254 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 107 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 618 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 624 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 1184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 77 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 88 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 130 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 134 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 191 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 247 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 343 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1428 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1459 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1468 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1516 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1517 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1602 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 1626 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.