NBA · Nov 21 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls

FinalMIA 143 – CHI 107Page updated 16:49 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes10 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Davion Mitchell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Dru Smith · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 2 actual

Pelle Larsson · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 7 actual

Simone Fontecchio · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 1 actual

Chicago Bulls

Isaac Okoro · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 2 actual

Matas Buzelis · minutes unknown

steals 0.5 → 0 actual

Norman Powell · minutes unknown

3-pointers 3.5 → 2 actual

Patrick Williams · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Tre Jones · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 16:49 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 143 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

10 other players with a posted line

Davion Mitchell · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 23.8 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.45, Under 1.53

Pelle Larsson · assists 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 26.1 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.65

Matas Buzelis · steals 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.6 min · DraftKings odds: Over 1.71, Under 2.05

Tre Jones · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.9 min · BetMGM odds: Over 5.00, Under 1.14

Simone Fontecchio · 3-pointers 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.2 min · Fanatics odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.57

Bam Adebayo · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.5 min · FanDuel odds: Over 2.20, Under 1.65

Dru Smith · assists 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 18.4 min · Caesars odds: Over 1.73, Under 2.04

Norman Powell · 3-pointers 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 24.7 min · Bovada odds: Over 2.25, Under 1.61

Patrick Williams · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.3 min · DraftKings odds: Over 2.52, Under 1.50

Isaac Okoro · rebounds 2.5 → 2 · 0.5 below the line · played 16.9 min · FanDuel odds: Over 1.65, Under 2.20

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs MIA · last 23 games · MIA leads · CHI record 10–13 · average score 108.9–113.6 · CHI has lost by 4.7 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

1 Feb · CHI 91 at MIA 134CHI lost

31 Jan · CHI 125 at MIA 118CHI won

29 Jan · MIA 116 at CHI 113CHI lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 49

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 67 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 84 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 109 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 134 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 154 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 253 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 262 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 266 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 268 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 268 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 275 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 281 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 302 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 5 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 55 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 78 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 224 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 264 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 273 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 280 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 339 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (steals)ok 200 · 350 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 357 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 360 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 362 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 390 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 394 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 722 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 733 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 587 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 595 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 660 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 667 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 676 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 680 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 692 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 703 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 717 ms

odds player timeline (steals)ok 200 · 891 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.